When the Iowa Hawkeyes square off against the Michigan State Spartans at 7:30 PM on Saturday, September 30, our computer model predicts the Hawkeyes will take home the win. Our model also projects the spead, point total, and final score, which you can check out below.

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Michigan State vs. Iowa Predictions and Picks

ATS Pick Total Pick Score Prediction
Michigan State (+10) Over (36.5) Iowa 21, Michigan State 19

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Week 5 Big Ten Predictions

Michigan State Betting Info (2023)

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  • The Spartans have a 25.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Spartans is 2-2-0 against the spread this year.
  • Michigan State is winless against the spread (0-1) when playing as at least 10-point underdogs.
  • Out of Spartans four games with a set total, one has hit the over (25%).
  • Michigan State games this year have averaged an over/under of 49 points, 12.5 more than the point total in this matchup.

Iowa Betting Info (2023)

  • Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Hawkeyes' implied win probability is 78.9%.
  • The Hawkeyes have two wins against the spread this year.
  • In games it has played as 10-point favorites or more, Iowa has an ATS record of 1-1.
  • The Hawkeyes have had one game (out of four) hit the over this year.
  • The over/under in this matchup is 36.5 points, 3.5 fewer than the average total in this season's Iowa contests.

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Spartans vs. Hawkeyes 2023 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Iowa 21.3 17 32.5 12 10 22
Michigan State 23 23.3 23 23.3 -- --

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