The Election Countdown Continues

By: Sherene Tagharobi Email
By: Sherene Tagharobi Email

Republicans already have a majority in the state senate: 22 to 16. One analyst says it looks like they may actually pad that majority. The question is: how much?

"Could they get to 26 seats? That would be veto proof, that would be the power to enact bills with immediate effect," said Bill Ballenger, editor of the newsletter Inside Michigan Politics.

As for the state house, republicans would have to gain 14 seats to claim a majority. It'd be a challenge but not out of the question, Ballenger says.

"It's possible. They could to it. They're right there, right on the edge," he said.

Ballenger says republicans will likely regain control of the state supreme court.

"It's arguably the most important race of the night Tuesday other than governor," he said.

With that race--between Republican Rick Snyder and Democrat Virg Bernero--nearly decided, analysts say democrats will have to look for victories elsewhere, like the Congressional district races.

"If they can hold on to those seats, that will be the silver lining for democrats," said Pollster Bernie Porn.

Porn says the likelihood republicans will take two or three of those races increases if Snyder wins by around 60 percent.

"The wind seems to be on the democrats' back unless there's a landslide on the part of Rick Snyder and then all bets are off," he said.

Porn says democrats have been unable to grab independents with their message, which doesn't help their odds.

Analysts predict there will be a 3.8 million voter turnout in Michigan Tuesday, not much more than in 2006.

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